Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
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Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World

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  • A “fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting” (Oliver Burkeman,New York Timesbestselling author) tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author ofThe Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy.

    At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But inEverything Is Predictable,Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes’s theorem is a description of almost everything.

    But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence?

    “Witty, lively, and best of all, extremely nerdy” (Tim Harford, author ofThe Undercover Economist),Everything Is Predictableis an entertaining and accessible illustration of how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.Tom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer forSemafor. His writing has appeared inThe Times(London),The Guardian,New Scientist,Wired, CNN, and more. His books includeEverything Is Predictable, The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy, and How to Read Numbers.
  • Chivers, Tom
  • ISBN: 9781668052631
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Pre-Owned: Like New

Item is in excellent condition, perfect working condition and has no signs of wear/usage. The original protective wrapping, if any, may be missing but the original packaging is intact.

What is the Walmart Pre-Owned Program?

Walmart Pre-Owned allows you to find previously owned, well-cared-for items from Walmart’s trusted & performance-managed sellers. Shopping Pre-Owned allows you to bring home the best-quality picks at even lower prices, in addition to extending the life of an item & reducing waste. Find your favorites & shop a range of conditions in every category.

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Why Walmart Pre-Owned?

Trusted sellers & quality items

Each Pre-Owned item listed comes from Walmart’s trusted performance-managed sellers, to ensure you get quality items.

Quality you can afford

Save even more on top brands & your most-loved items.

30-day free returns

Don’t love it? Most items offer a 30-day* free return policy, for added peace of mind.

Sustainability

Shopping Pre-Owned helps in extending the life of an item & reducing waste.

Product image for illustration purposes only. The item you receive may vary from the image in minor ways, such as slight differences in appearance, color, and/or design. *Exceptions apply during holiday season, and on certain electronics, collectibles, and jewelry.

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